In 2014, the domestic plastics industry experienced the implementation of coal-to-olefins projects, the implementation of various anti-dumping policies for Chinese plastic products in Europe and the United States, and the diving of crude oil futures (WTI fell below US$55/barrel); Policy, production, import, upstream important chemical raw materials, production enterprises, traders and downstream enterprises have begun to take stock of the plastics industry.
1. In recent years, governments have issued a series of policies on plastic pollution. In order to promote energy conservation and emission reduction and effectively prevent white pollution, national and local governments have also introduced a number of policies, which have far-reaching effects on the plastics industry, especially The demand for the downstream products industry to be transformed is increasing:
1. The new environmental protection law, which was officially implemented from January 1, 2015, has been hailed as the “most stringent environmental law†in the industry. Many of the new regulations have also been implemented for the first time, such as lowering the threshold for public interest litigation and implementing The daily penalty is not capped (the act of correcting and not correcting is to be punished on a daily basis. The illegal law is accumulated by the day, the increase of one day is 10,000 yuan, the fine is not capped), and the environmental information standards for smog are unified, etc. The new environmental protection law is about to be implemented, and some plastic production enterprises that fail to meet environmental standards (such as sulfur emissions, carbon emissions, and harmful substances in sewage) are facing challenges.
2. The EU promulgated regulations: reducing the use of plastic bags by 80%. In April, the European Parliament passed a regulation with 539 votes in favor and 51 votes against, requiring members to reduce the use of plastic bags at least from now to 2019. 80%, and free plastic bags such as supermarkets are forbidden.
Second, the export of plastic downstream products accounted for a large proportion, especially for developed economies such as Europe, America, Japan and South Korea. In recent years, more and more foreign trade barriers have brought a heavy pressure on the export of plastics industry. The anti-dumping banner has brought serious impacts on import and export processing enterprises and foreign trade enterprises. The industry is facing shuffling:
1. On December 17, 2014, the Foreign Trade Department of the Ministry of Trade and Industry of Colombia issued a resolution to solicit opinions on the anti-dumping administrative review of vinyl chloride polymer plastic sheets imported from China (product tax number: 3920.43.00.00 and 3920.49.00.00). The deadline is extended to January 9, 2015.
2. On December 5, 2014, the Indonesian Anti-Dumping Committee issued an announcement stating that, in response to its domestic industry application, it decided to initiate an anti-dumping review investigation on polyester staple fiber imported from China.
3. The Ministry of Industry and Trade of Brazil issued an announcement in December to decide to impose a temporary anti-dumping duty of US$820.60/ton on PET film imported from China. The taxation period is 6 months.
4. In October 2014, Argentina passed a resolution to end the anti-dumping investigation on PVC profiles originating in China and Germany for the manufacture of doors, windows and partitions (the product of the product is the Southern City Tax Code: 3916.20.00), and issued the resolution. The anti-dumping duty of 0.88 US dollars/kg will be imposed from the date of the measure, and the measure is valid for 5 years.
5. In August 2014, Brazil made an anti-dumping sunset review of PVC resin originating in China and South Korea, and will continue to levy a five-year anti-dumping charge on products imported from China and South Korea (customs code is 3904.10.10). .
3. In 2014, the supply and demand of domestic plastic raw materials were basically balanced, and the supply performance was abundant. This year, many sets of plastic raw material equipments were put into production in China, and new capacity was added. Especially in the aspect of polyolefins, the development of coal chemical industry brought about coal-to-olefin plants. Large-scale production, the centralized production of hundreds of tons of equipment has greatly eased the pressure on demand, and the degree of dependence on foreign countries has been repeatedly reduced. This has also led to the decline in operating rates and the increasingly fierce market competition:
1. On March 5, 2014, Sichuan Petrochemical's 800,000 tons/year ethylene plant was successfully launched. The main product indicators of Sichuan Petrochemical Plant were qualified. The ethylene plant of Sichuan Refining and Chemical Integration Project was successfully launched.
2. On January 10, 2014, Sinopec Group's first methanol-to-olefin industrialization demonstration project--Zhongyuan Petrochemical's 600,000-ton/year methanol-to-olefins demonstration project was fully discussed and carefully reviewed by the completion acceptance committee, and agreed to 600,000 from Zhongyuan Petrochemical. The ton/year MTO demonstration project passed the completion acceptance.
3. In August 2014, the production of olefins from China Coal and Linneng Chemical Gas Oil was successfully completed in one pass and produced qualified olefin products. This is a confirmation of the commercial innovation of Yulin Chemical, which marks the birth of a new milestone in the transformation and upgrading of Yulin Chemical. The project has designed an annual output of 600,000 tons of polyethylene and 600,000 tons of polypropylene.
4. In November 2014, the Ningxia Baofeng Energy Coal-to-Pearl Project was put into operation. The project designed and built 300,000 tons of polyethylene and 300,000 tons of polypropylene per year.
5. In June 2014, the foundation project of the polycarbonate project of Yangheng Group Qingdao Hengyuan Chemical Co., Ltd. was started. The total investment of the project is 5.4 billion yuan, the introduction of foreign advanced technology, the first phase of investment of 2.57 billion yuan, the construction of an annual output of 100,000 tons of non-phosgene polycarbonate plant.
6. In September 2014, the Luxi Chemical Polycarbonate Project was carried out in strict accordance with the construction period and progressed smoothly. It has now entered the equipment installation stage. It is expected to be put into operation in early 2015 with a production capacity of 150,000 tons.
Fourth, the general materials competition pressure, petrochemicals into the high-end materials field and fruitful domestic plastics general materials competition fierce, petrochemicals continue to focus on the development of special materials, on the one hand, enterprises can ensure the maximum profit, increase competitiveness; More and more new technologies have filled the domestic gap, and also increased the market supply of domestic high-end materials, breaking the technological monopoly of high-end enterprises. In 2014, Sinopec's Zhongsha Tianjin, Guangzhou Petrochemical and Wuhan Ethylene, PetroChina's Daqing Petrochemical, Fushun Petrochemical and Lanzhou Petrochemical and other oil-to-olefin enterprises increased their research and development efforts on special materials, and conducted trial production, corresponding downstream products. The performance has been improved and improved, and the price of the product is higher than that of the general material. In 2015, under the background of increasingly fierce competition in the general materials market, petrochemical enterprises are expected to continue to attach importance to the development of special materials.
5. The crude oil plunge brought cost advantage, which is good for the downstream plastics industry. In 2014, crude oil remained at a low level. Especially in the second half of the year, crude oil plummeted. US crude oil futures WTI fell to 50 US dollars/barrel, which brought a breathing space to the downstream chemical and plastics industries. Especially in the continuous development of coal chemical industry, the favorable cost has brought more profits to the downstream petrochemical industry. Taking PE in polyolefin products as an example, raw material crude oil has a larger decline than finished polyethylene. The profit of oil-based PE has been enlarged since June. From November, the profit of oil-made PE is higher than 2000 yuan/ton. The profit advantage of coal to olefins has weakened and the situation is expected to continue into 2015.
6. The profits of traders and middlemen in the plastics industry are weak, and enterprises are facing transformation/diversification. The profits of traders in the plastics industry are affected by the competitiveness of the industry. The profit margin is relatively weak, and the profit is 50-100 yuan/ton. Turn. Since the second half of 2014, plastics have basically been in a downward trend of shocks. Some enterprises have been in a state of loss for a long time. Due to the pressure of industry profits being cut, trade-oriented enterprises are facing transformation or diversification. Some enterprises with large-scale capital can appropriately reduce non-profit business, improve professionalism, and increase profit growth rate in familiar areas. Some enterprises can extend the industrial chain, integrate industry and trade, or expand their business scope, and engage in businesses with promising profit prospects, such as logistics and service industries.
China Jiuzhi Plastics Network
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